Based on yesterday’s organized leaks from the President’s staff to the press, I am updating my legislative projections one day after making them.
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Tag Archives: Pelosi
Health Care Moves
2 September 2009 
36 Comments
At some point in September, the President, Speaker Pelosi and Leader Reid will need to choose a legislative path for health care reform. I will provide an overview of the legislative landscape, then walk through each of five paths. Today I project a 55% chance that the President will fail to enact a comprehensive health reform bill.
Read more A health care fallback strategy, or merely a messaging shift?
4 August 2009 21 Comments
The President and Speaker Pelosi have shifted their health care message for the August Congressional recess. I disagree with those who say this is a new strategy. It’s a new message to try to sell the same strategy, and with the same desired policy outcome as we’ve seen over the past few months.
Read more More health care stumbling by Team Obama
24 July 2009 26 Comments
In today’s Wall Street Journal, Kim Strassel brilliantly identifies four key mistakes made by the President and his team in their health care legislative effort. Here are six additional health care stumbles by Team Obama, rounding out Kim’s list to an even ten.
Read more Understanding the House Democrats' health care bill
9 June 2009 218 Comments
Yesterday I posted and described the draft Kennedy-Dodd health care bill. Today I would like to do the same for an outline produced by House Democrats. Here is a three-page outline of “Key Features of the Tri-Committee Health Reform Draft Proposal in the House of Representatives,” dated yesterday (June 8, 2009). The three committees are: […]
Read moreDr. Goolsbee gets it wrong on the auto loans
7 June 2009 41 Comments
This morning on Fox News Sunday, host Chris Wallace moderated a discussion about the auto industry. One of his guests was Dr. Austan Goolsbee, who is a Member of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers and chief economist on the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board. I want to focus on some incorrect and inflammatory statements […]
Read moreWill the stimulus come too late?
3 June 2009 38 Comments
I began this blog at the end of March after the stimulus bill had become law. I had been struck by how much the stimulus debate had focused on whether the bill was efficient. (It clearly was not.) There was much less discussion of whether the stimulus would be effective, and of the timing of […]
Read moreFour unpleasant options for TARP funding
13 April 2009 7 Comments
Despite Secretary Geithner’s statement to the contrary, I still think the Administration is running out of room within the $700 B Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP). In my last four posts on TARP funding (1 2 3 4), I have stuck to what I think I can demonstrate analytically. I am now going to shift […]
Read moreMore oil supply
15 August 2008 Comments Off
In May of 2007, I wrote Why are gas prices high, and what can we do about it? At the time, the national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline was $3.22. The national average price is now 59 cents higher, at $3.81 per gallon. That’s down 30 cents from a high of […]
Read moreA messy end to a bad farm bill
28 May 2008 1 Comment
Now let’s look at last week’s farm bill procedural snafu. Last Wednesday we thought the farm bill veto would be straightforward: Congress passes the farm bill conference report and sends it to the President. There are several steps in this process. The bill is passed by both Houses. That’s the “engrossed bill.” This engrossed bill […]
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