Comments on: Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/ Your guide to American economic policy Fri, 19 Mar 2010 00:24:54 -0400 http://wordpress.org/?v=abc hourly 1 By: Keith Hennessey http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12932 Keith Hennessey Mon, 02 Nov 2009 15:32:03 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12932 I've written about this a few times before. Please search for "Grassley Obama" to find it. I believe Chairman Baucus negotiated in good faith with the SFC Republicans, but that he was not empowered by the President to negotiate. Sen. Baucus publicly commented to this effect a few times. I am not drawing on the AHIP study. I have written about the study, which I think was sloppy but ends up at the qualitatively correct place. As for the 100M+ Americans with employer-provided health insurance, no provisions in this bill would increase their premiums, while there are several provisions that would increase their premiums. Most importantly, increased demand for medical care would result from the greater insurance coverage, raising prices for medical care and insurance. Thanks for the questions. <div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12932','Keith Hennessey'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12932','Keith Hennessey','I've written about this a few times before. Please search for "Grassley Obama" to find it. I believe Chairman Baucus negotiated in good faith with the SFC Republicans, but that he was not empowered by the President to negotiate. Sen. Baucus publicly commented to this effect a few times. \n \nI am not drawing on the AHIP study. I have written about the study, which I think was sloppy but ends up at the qualitatively correct place. \nAs for the 100M+ Americans with employer-provided health insurance, no provisions in this bill would increase their premiums, while there are several provisions that would increase their premiums. Most importantly, increased demand for medical care would result from the greater insurance coverage, raising prices for medical care and insurance. \n \nThanks for the questions. '); return false;">Quote</a></div> I've written about this a few times before. Please search for "Grassley Obama" to find it. I believe Chairman Baucus negotiated in good faith with the SFC Republicans, but that he was not empowered by the President to negotiate. Sen. Baucus publicly commented to this effect a few times.

I am not drawing on the AHIP study. I have written about the study, which I think was sloppy but ends up at the qualitatively correct place.
As for the 100M+ Americans with employer-provided health insurance, no provisions in this bill would increase their premiums, while there are several provisions that would increase their premiums. Most importantly, increased demand for medical care would result from the greater insurance coverage, raising prices for medical care and insurance.

Thanks for the questions.

Reply – Quote
]]> By: Weekend Reading… « Truth, Lies and In Between http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12921 Weekend Reading… « Truth, Lies and In Between Sat, 31 Oct 2009 14:10:57 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12921 [...] Hennessey updates his projections on a health care bill passing this [...]<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12921','Weekend Reading… « Truth, Lies and In Between'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12921','Weekend Reading… « Truth, Lies and In Between','[...] Hennessey updates his projections on a health care bill passing this [...]'); return false;">Quote</a></div> [...] Hennessey updates his projections on a health care bill passing this [...]
Reply – Quote
]]> By: race42008.com » Blog Archive » Be scared. 60% Chance for ObamaCare, Says GWB White House Economist http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12916 race42008.com » Blog Archive » Be scared. 60% Chance for ObamaCare, Says GWB White House Economist Fri, 30 Oct 2009 23:30:45 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12916 [...] Democratic-led health care legislation, Hennessey puts the odds at 60% that a “partisan comprehensive bill” will pass.  The good news is that he has lowered his expectations from his previous number of [...]<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12916','race42008.com » Blog Archive » Be scared. 60% Chance for ObamaCare, Says GWB White House Economist'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12916','race42008.com » Blog Archive » Be scared. 60% Chance for ObamaCare, Says GWB White House Economist','[...] Democratic-led health care legislation, Hennessey puts the odds at 60% that a “partisan comprehensive bill” will pass.  The good news is that he has lowered his expectations from his previous number of [...]'); return false;">Quote</a></div> [...] Democratic-led health care legislation, Hennessey puts the odds at 60% that a “partisan comprehensive bill” will pass.  The good news is that he has lowered his expectations from his previous number of [...]
Reply – Quote
]]> By: Keith Hennessey on health care legislation — Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later | The Kansas Progress http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12915 Keith Hennessey on health care legislation — Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later | The Kansas Progress Fri, 30 Oct 2009 22:33:05 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12915 [...] Enactment of a comprehensive law is far from certain. The last two attempts to enact major health care reform both failed: the Clinton Health Plan in 1994, and the Patients’ Bill of Rights about ten years ago. PBoR seemed inevitable right up to when it died. [...]<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12915','Keith Hennessey on health care legislation — Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later | The Kansas Progress'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12915','Keith Hennessey on health care legislation — Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later | The Kansas Progress','[...] Enactment of a comprehensive law is far from certain. The last two attempts to enact major health care reform both failed: the Clinton Health Plan in 1994, and the Patients’ Bill of Rights about ten years ago. PBoR seemed inevitable right up to when it died. [...]'); return false;">Quote</a></div> [...] Enactment of a comprehensive law is far from certain. The last two attempts to enact major health care reform both failed: the Clinton Health Plan in 1994, and the Patients’ Bill of Rights about ten years ago. PBoR seemed inevitable right up to when it died. [...]
Reply – Quote
]]> By: Club for Growth http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12900 Club for Growth Fri, 30 Oct 2009 12:58:13 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12900 <strong>Friday's Daily News...</strong> The Club for Growth's pollster shares his thoughts on the NY-23 race. Ken Blackwell says hiking the Death Tax is an insult to Jack Kemp's legacy. Here are 10 facts you should know about the House health care bill. And don't forget about these 13 tax...<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12900','Club for Growth'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12900','Club for Growth','<strong>Friday\'s Daily News...<\/strong>\n\nThe Club for Growth\'s pollster shares his thoughts on the NY-23 race. Ken Blackwell says hiking the Death Tax is an insult to Jack Kemp\'s legacy. Here are 10 facts you should know about the House health care bill. And don\'t forget about these 13 tax...'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Friday’s Daily News…

The Club for Growth’s pollster shares his thoughts on the NY-23 race. Ken Blackwell says hiking the Death Tax is an insult to Jack Kemp’s legacy. Here are 10 facts you should know about the House health care bill. And don’t forget about these 13 tax…

Reply – Quote
]]> By: EconLog http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12899 EconLog Fri, 30 Oct 2009 12:33:32 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12899 <strong>Do They Care?...</strong> While many people dismiss insights from public choice, what's striking is its casual acceptance in conversation and discussion. Keith Hennessey posted today about the odds on various things happening with the Senate's and House of Representatives' p...<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12899','EconLog'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12899','EconLog','<strong>Do They Care?...<\/strong>\n\nWhile many people dismiss insights from public choice, what\'s striking is its casual acceptance in conversation and discussion. Keith Hennessey posted today about the odds on various things happening with the Senate\'s and House of Representatives\' p...'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Do They Care?…

While many people dismiss insights from public choice, what’s striking is its casual acceptance in conversation and discussion. Keith Hennessey posted today about the odds on various things happening with the Senate’s and House of Representatives’ p…

Reply – Quote
]]> By: AIP Blog http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12896 AIP Blog Fri, 30 Oct 2009 05:35:26 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12896 <strong>Morning Conservative Reading List - October 30, 2009...</strong> Enjoy these conservative articles and blog posts from around the web: Charles Krauthammer considers President...<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12896','AIP Blog'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12896','AIP Blog','<strong>Morning Conservative Reading List - October 30, 2009...<\/strong>\n\nEnjoy these conservative articles and blog posts from around the web: Charles Krauthammer considers President...'); return false;">Quote</a></div> Morning Conservative Reading List – October 30, 2009…

Enjoy these conservative articles and blog posts from around the web: Charles Krauthammer considers President…

Reply – Quote
]]> By: Daniel Zaleznik http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12895 Daniel Zaleznik Fri, 30 Oct 2009 05:32:34 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12895 The bullet point labeled "Republicans are unified in their opposition" seems like a questionable argument to me. From my perspective, the attempts to negotiate with the republicans on the senate finance committee were clearly in good faith. Why do you feel that they were not? Also, you seem to be drawing the claim that 100m Americans would see their premiums increase from the discredited AHIP study. (from the post on 10/12) I thought the methodological criticisms of this study were decisive. If you disagree, could you explain? Or if the number comes from a different source, could you indicate that source? I'm a liberal, but if I thought the final hc bill would lead to higher costs over the long term, I would defect as a supporter. <div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12895','Daniel Zaleznik'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12895','Daniel Zaleznik','The bullet point labeled "Republicans are unified in their opposition" seems like a questionable argument to me. From my perspective, the attempts to negotiate with the republicans on the senate finance committee were clearly in good faith. Why do you feel that they were not? \n \nAlso, you seem to be drawing the claim that 100m Americans would see their premiums increase from the discredited AHIP study. (from the post on 10\/12) I thought the methodological criticisms of this study were decisive. If you disagree, could you explain? Or if the number comes from a different source, could you indicate that source? I'm a liberal, but if I thought the final hc bill would lead to higher costs over the long term, I would defect as a supporter. '); return false;">Quote</a></div> The bullet point labeled "Republicans are unified in their opposition" seems like a questionable argument to me. From my perspective, the attempts to negotiate with the republicans on the senate finance committee were clearly in good faith. Why do you feel that they were not?

Also, you seem to be drawing the claim that 100m Americans would see their premiums increase from the discredited AHIP study. (from the post on 10/12) I thought the methodological criticisms of this study were decisive. If you disagree, could you explain? Or if the number comes from a different source, could you indicate that source? I'm a liberal, but if I thought the final hc bill would lead to higher costs over the long term, I would defect as a supporter.

Reply – Quote
]]> By: Tweets that mention Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later  |  KeithHennessey.com -- Topsy.com http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12894 Tweets that mention Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later  |  KeithHennessey.com -- Topsy.com Fri, 30 Oct 2009 04:36:28 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12894 [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by John Iorio and The ObamaCare Saga, Keith Hennessey. Keith Hennessey said: Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later http://bit.ly/2oPzR0 [...]<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12894','Tweets that mention Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later  |  KeithHennessey.com -- Topsy.com'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12894','Tweets that mention Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later  |  KeithHennessey.com -- Topsy.com','[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by John Iorio and The ObamaCare Saga, Keith Hennessey. Keith Hennessey said: Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later http:\/\/bit.ly\/2oPzR0 [...]'); return false;">Quote</a></div> [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by John Iorio and The ObamaCare Saga, Keith Hennessey. Keith Hennessey said: Updating the legislative scenarios: Reply hazy, ask again later http://bit.ly/2oPzR0 [...]
Reply – Quote
]]> By: Cindy http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/magic-8-ball/comment-page-1/#comment-12892 Cindy Thu, 29 Oct 2009 23:13:33 +0000 http://keithhennessey.com/2009/10/29/updating-the-legislative-scenarios-reply-hazy-ask-again-later/#comment-12892 I pick number 5! Really, it's what I've seen coming for a while. I'm glad to see the odds improve so.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('12892','Cindy'); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('12892','Cindy','I pick number 5! Really, it\'s what I\'ve seen coming for a while. I\'m glad to see the odds improve so.'); return false;">Quote</a></div> I pick number 5! Really, it’s what I’ve seen coming for a while. I’m glad to see the odds improve so.
Reply – Quote
]]>